slan's blog

有梦就去追,累了就休息

link and logic of bonds

1 BASIC:

graph LR
PriceUP[Price Up]
PriceDown[Price Down]

YieldDown([Yield Down])
YieldUp([Yield Up])

people--Buy-->PriceUP-->YieldDown;
people--Sell-->PriceDown-->YieldUp;

2 Inflation:

graph LR
PriceUP[Price Up]
YieldDown([Yield Down])


HighInflation--RaisesFederalFundsRate-->
HigherInterestRates[Higher Interest Rates] -- bondsMoreAttractive -->
DemandForBondsIncreases -->
PriceUP[Price Up] -->
YieldDown([Yield Down])

EconomicCrisis--LowerFederalFundsRate-->
LowerInterestRates[Lower Interest Rates] -- bondsLessAttractive -->
DemandForBondsDecrease[Demand For Bonds Decrease] -->
PriceDown[Price Down] -->
YieldUP([Yield Up])

3 Affect Inflation:

graph LR
HighPMI-->HotEconomic-->
HighInflation--RaisesFederalFundsRate-->
HigherInterestRates[Higher Interest Rates] -- bondsMoreAttractive -->
DemandForBondsIncreases -->
PriceUP[Price Up] -->
YieldDown([Yield Down])

HighCPI-->HotEconomic
HighPPI-->HotEconomic


LowPMI-->ColdEconomic-->EconomicCrisis--LowerFederalFundsRate-->
LowerInterestRates[Lower Interest Rates] -- bondsLessAttractive -->
DemandForBondsDecrease[Demand For Bonds Decrease] -->
PriceDown[Price Down] -->
YieldUP([Yield Up])

LowCPI-->ColdEconomic

my questions

  • how short term treasury Notes impact long term bonds?